Luis Suarez Goal Projection
The exciting aspect of such an analysis is less in hindsight, but more the promise of foresight projections. Holding the assumptions that:
- Suárez maintains his current conversion rate (13.9%); and
- Suárez maintains his current shots per game (6);
over the course of the season, it is projected that Luis Suárez will have an incredible season, scoring 32 goals.
If Suárez manages to score 32 goals this Premier League season, he will notch the second highest goals scored for a Golden Boot winner (given he wins it) in Premier League history – beaten only by Andrew Cole (1993/94) and Alan Shearer (1994/95) who both scored 34 goals.
Conclusion
The overall improvement in Luis Suárez’s game is emphasised by the goal projection table above. By simply increasing the number of shots he takes per game from 4.1 to 6 per game and improving his conversion from 8.6% to 13.9%, Suárez is expected to more than double his goal tally from 14 goals last season to 32 this season. Such improvements in the Uruguayan’s game are arguably attributable to his central forward positioning and personnel changes to Rodgers’ 4-3-3, coupled with Suárez’s own maturity or acclimatisation to the Premier League.
Whilst he may not have reached the goals per game heights of his final full season at Ajax, Suárez is mirroring the positive trend of his Ajax days here at Liverpool, with his ability to score a goal every game increasing every season. Such a trend is one that will arguably define Liverpool’s success in seasons to come, especially if his prowess to find the back of the net continues to trend upwards.
Article originally published at LiverpoolScout.com (who are members of our EPLIndex Stats Centre – sign up for access!)
