Starting Season Predictions v The Premier League Final Standings

Starting Season Predictions v The Premier League Final Standings

All sports analysts revel in the joy of a starting season, especially when it comes to the Premier League. The best English teams are fighting for the title as these experts often argue their claim about the final outcome of the matches. Despite their confidence, guessing the final outcome is about as difficult as guessing the lotto results before the next drawing. Reviewing the predictions made at the start of the season with the current table positions offers valuable insight …
Weekend Predictions: Draws for Chelsea and Arsenal?

Weekend Predictions: Draws for Chelsea and Arsenal?

Predict the weekend's results with Football Pools and you can win big cash prizes. The Premier League ran a successful gauntlet midweek, with the League Cup games yielding only the one 'cupset'. Newcastle, despite splashing the cash in the summer, have gone backwards under new boss Steve McClaren, and crashed out of the cup with a 1-0 loss at home to Sheffield Wednesday of the Championship on Wednesday. But it's back to the Premier League this weekend, with Newcastle up against Chelsea in the …
Premier League Matchday 2: Score Predictions for Every Fixture

Premier League Matchday 2: Score Predictions for Every Fixture

It is week 2 of the Premier League and we have a number of juicy fixtures to look forward to. Manchester City versus Chelsea headline the group, but a number of equally matched teams face off this weekend. Below are my game-by-game scoreline predictions: Aston Villa vs Manchester United Jordan Ayew and Rudy Gestede are good additions, but Aston Villa will sorely miss Christian Benteke and Fabian Delph against United. I expect Villa to grab a goal thanks to suspect Red Devils defending, …
EPL Prediction Model: Final Day | Liverpool, City & Chelsea to win

EPL Prediction Model: Final Day | Liverpool, City & Chelsea to win

We've arrived at the final weekend and it's been a lot of fun this season. Some small ups and downs at the start, then around the turn of the year the model really started to fly and we were averaging over six out of ten correct calls per week. The past month hasn't gone well but is providing good motivation for a rebuild of the model this summer. It will definitely be back next season in a new and improved …
EPL Prediction Model: Wk 37 | Liverpool, Chelsea to win, City to lose - Just

EPL Prediction Model: Wk 37 | Liverpool, Chelsea to win, City to lose - Just

Liverpool slipped in the title race last weekend and like most of the statistical models out there, the EPL Model didn't see it coming. Tactics are an area of the game that is very hard to model - we have data on how players usually behave, but when they're deployed in a different role, or asked to attack less than usual, it's not something that our model will see coming. This week is the last but one of 2013/14 and …
EPL Prediction Model: Wk 36 | Liverpool, City, Arsenal, Everton to win

EPL Prediction Model: Wk 36 | Liverpool, City, Arsenal, Everton to win

The model's been struggling with games further down the league in recent weeks and we'll have to see if this trend continues to the end of the season. While draws between mid-table teams are normally a good source of profit, we've missed quite a few by a single goal and managerial changes - in particular at Crystal Palace - haven't helped prediction accuracy either. I now have eyes firmly on next season and a brand new version of the model …
Prediction Model: Liverpool, Chelsea & City to win, Arsenal draw

Prediction Model: Liverpool, Chelsea & City to win, Arsenal draw

Only four games to go and after a decent weekend, the model struggled in mid-week. Few people would have foreseen Manchester City failing to beat Sunderland and the EPL Model didn't either. I'd warned that the model in its current form can't adjust well to the huge changes in Pulis' Crystal Palace and that proved to be the case against Everton, giving us two wrong calls on Wednesday night. This week, we've got the usual predictions and then just for …
EPL Prediction Model: Arsenal, Chelsea to win, Liverpool to beat City

EPL Prediction Model: Arsenal, Chelsea to win, Liverpool to beat City

Last week saw some satisfying predictions on Sunday, as Everton ran out comfortable winners at home to Arsenal - in line with the model's forecasts - and Liverpool won away at West Ham. Saturday was close to a great result, with the three clear favourites winning, but Hull vs. Swansea and Norwich vs. West Brom both finished 1-0 and scuppered our calls of draws. This week, we've got nine games up to Tuesday night and then another couple on Wednesday. …
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