EPL Prediction Model: Wk 36 | Liverpool, City, Arsenal, Everton to win

EPL Prediction Model: Wk 36 | Liverpool, City, Arsenal, Everton to win

The model's been struggling with games further down the league in recent weeks and we'll have to see if this trend continues to the end of the season. While draws between mid-table teams are normally a good source of profit, we've missed quite a few by a single goal and managerial changes - in particular at Crystal Palace - haven't helped prediction accuracy either. I now have eyes firmly on next season and a brand new version of the model …
Prediction Model: Liverpool, Chelsea & City to win, Arsenal draw

Prediction Model: Liverpool, Chelsea & City to win, Arsenal draw

Only four games to go and after a decent weekend, the model struggled in mid-week. Few people would have foreseen Manchester City failing to beat Sunderland and the EPL Model didn't either. I'd warned that the model in its current form can't adjust well to the huge changes in Pulis' Crystal Palace and that proved to be the case against Everton, giving us two wrong calls on Wednesday night. This week, we've got the usual predictions and then just for …
Cardiff City vs Stoke City Preview | Team News, Facts and Key Players

Cardiff City vs Stoke City Preview | Team News, Facts and Key Players

Cardiff entertain Stoke at home on the weekend looking to make it back-to-back wins for the first time this season. After cutting the gap to safety to only three points last week, a win here would make the bottom half of the table even tighter, with a cluster of teams still in the thick of a relegation dog fight. The away side sit in the top half of the table after a run of good results and will hope to …
Crucial Season-Ending Fixtures Summary

Crucial Season-Ending Fixtures Summary

As the season enters its last few weeks, there are a number of mouth-watering high-stake clashes that will make a huge to the top and bottom of the table. Relegation spots, Champions league places and ultimately the Premier League title is yet to be decided with only four weeks remaining. However, results in the coming weeks may give a better indication as to where teams are likely to finish come the end of the season. Let’s have a look at …
EPL Prediction Model: Arsenal, Chelsea to win, Liverpool to beat City

EPL Prediction Model: Arsenal, Chelsea to win, Liverpool to beat City

Last week saw some satisfying predictions on Sunday, as Everton ran out comfortable winners at home to Arsenal - in line with the model's forecasts - and Liverpool won away at West Ham. Saturday was close to a great result, with the three clear favourites winning, but Hull vs. Swansea and Norwich vs. West Brom both finished 1-0 and scuppered our calls of draws. This week, we've got nine games up to Tuesday night and then another couple on Wednesday. …
Southampton vs Cardiff City Preview | Team News, Key Men & Stats

Southampton vs Cardiff City Preview | Team News, Key Men & Stats

This Saturday, Southampton take on Cardiff City at St Mary’s. The fixture will kick off at 3.07 as all fixtures begin 7 minutes later in memory of the Hillsborough disaster. The game comes with Cardiff desperately in need of points, but Southampton safe and with nothing to play for except maintaining their 8th position. Some of Southampton’s players are playing for World Cup spots however, so the game is sure to be an extremely competitive one. The Saints have had a …
Manager Impact Index: Allardyce, Rodgers surge | Wenger, Mourinho slip

Manager Impact Index: Allardyce, Rodgers surge | Wenger, Mourinho slip

As the Premier League enters the final stages of the season I have managed to crunch the numbers for the Manager Impact Index and take a look at how the managers are performing. If you've never read this series before I started this back in August so for more information read the first ever Manager Impact Index blog here: Introduction to the Manager Impact Index. I've taken the liberty of having a good look at the impacts of the new managers …
EPL Manager Impact Index: Moyes, Wenger, Mourinho, AVB & Rodgers

EPL Manager Impact Index: Moyes, Wenger, Mourinho, AVB & Rodgers

Maybe it’s my age?  Or the fact that I coach youth football?  Or it could just be down to Jose Mourinho? Whatever the reason, my main interest in football these days is in the ‘Cult of the Manager’.  I am a little obsessed in what they know, their style of management and their impact on games, examples of my previous articles in this vein are here and here. I often ponder the question whether football managers actually make any difference to …
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