Odds of Winning the League: The Final Day | Probability Analysis

Odds of Winning the League: The Final Day | Probability Analysis

Wow. What a day. In what was the most exciting finish to the English Premier League season ever, Manchester City secured the title with 2 stoppage time goals to beat out Manchester United on mere goal differential. [caption id="attachment_14511" align="alignright" width="225" caption="Kompany and Aguero Celebrate"][/caption] Instead of trying to sum up the craziness that was this final day in words, I thought it would be better to quantify all the swings that happened. City went from being confident of winning …
Swansea City Stand Firm At Old Trafford

Swansea City Stand Firm At Old Trafford

Prior to yesterday’s game against Swansea, Manchester United had scored an average of three goals per game in Premier League matches played at Old Trafford this season. Following Manchester City’s earlier two goal win up at Newcastle to place them firmly in the driving seat for the title race, the only chance for United to remain in contention was to cut the eight goal advantage that their noisy neighbours held over them. Therefore, we can safely assume that the message …
Wolves 0-5 Manchester United | Back on Top | Opta Stats

Wolves 0-5 Manchester United | Back on Top | Opta Stats

As we move into the final stages of the season, the very top of the Premier League table has a familiar look to it. Manchester United went one point clear with a win over West Brom, while Manchester City lost to Swansea City. Wolverhampton Wanderers entertained Manchester United, with the visitors looking to go four points clear at the top of the table. Wolves were in terrible form, gaining just 4 points from the previous six games. While Man United …
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