The Rate of Attack and Creative Efficiency (RACE) to Goals Model

The Rate of Attack and Creative Efficiency (RACE) to Goals Model

One of the key breakthroughs recently in football's fanalytic community has been the development of shots models that look at quality of chances that teams or players have and their ability to finish those chances. There has been some very interesting work carried out by @colinttrainor (like this), @11tegen11 (like this), and @footballfactman (like this), where they have put in a significant amount of work to look at where shots are taken from and what the conversion rates are for shots from those areas. One of …
Who is the best Premier League right-back? | Stats Comparison

Who is the best Premier League right-back? | Stats Comparison

Top Counter Attacking Teams This Season | Opta Stats Analysis

Top Counter Attacking Teams This Season | Opta Stats Analysis

Teams that can hit you on the counter attack at any moment are incredibly hard to defend against, especially when speed merchants such as Gareth Bale and Theo Walcott are running at your defence. So which teams have impressed in the counter attack and how have they been so successful? We can start to answer this by looking at which teams have had the most shots and scored the most goals on the counter attack, as well as which teams …
Relegated from the Premier League. So What Happens Next? Stats Analysis

Relegated from the Premier League. So What Happens Next? Stats Analysis

It is a sight no football fan wants to see.  The dreaded 'R' next to your club in the league table. It is incredibly difficult for fans to prepare themselves for the emotions that they go through when relegation from the Premier League is sealed.  Anger, frustration and even relief are just some of the feelings that they'll succumb to.  Pragmatists will say c'est la vie, others will feel like it's the end of the world. But is it?  Your …
Reading 0 Liverpool 0 | Stats & Tactical Analysis

Reading 0 Liverpool 0 | Stats & Tactical Analysis

Liverpool created a staggering amount of chances, but Reading managed to keep the game scoreless through a fantastic breakout performance by their goalkeeper, Alex McCarthy. Liverpool dominated every metric of this match. It’s a wonder that Reading managed to keep them out, but then again, it’s also a wonder that no one in a Liverpool jersey managed to put a chance away. The Reds had 19 chances at goal, the most of any team this weekend. They also possessed 60% …
Arsenal v Reading | Match Preview

Arsenal v Reading | Match Preview

As the international break comes to an end we finally get back to the Premier League as we head into the business end of the season. With just nine games remaining it’s crunch time for these two teams. With Reading fighting against relegation and Arsenal looking up at a ‘Top Four’ finish, both teams will be fighting for the precious three points.  Reading sit 19th in the league, seven points from 17th placed Aston Villa, whereas Arsenal who are placed …
Are Referees biased towards the Home Team? | EPL Stats Analysis

Are Referees biased towards the Home Team? | EPL Stats Analysis

Research has been conducted looking into whether referee's are biased towards certain teams or individuals. Manchester United tend to have a reputation from rival supporters for 'Fergie time', gaining more penalties than other teams at home, especially with Howard Webb. Marouane Fellaini even stated that referee's were biased towards English players following his head butt on Ryan Shawcross. For this article I am going to focus on comparisons between home and away games in relation to the number of fouls …
Manchester United v Reading | Match Preview & RVP Stats

Manchester United v Reading | Match Preview & RVP Stats

After Brian McDermott’s shock sacking on Monday, Reading have the unenviable task of traveling to Old Trafford to face the current league leaders Manchester United in Saturday’s late kick off. Both teams are aiming for very different things in the league this year with Manchester United comfortable at the top of the table with a 12 point lead, whereas Reading are fighting for their lives in the relegation battle. All of the big betting firms will be putting this one …
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