As I predicted Hull’s draw against Liverpool last week, this week I’m going one better by advising a home win against Southampton. Hull sit in a mid table position with the form line of Won 2, Drawn 5, Lost 2, Scored 13 and Conceded 13. In all competitions their home form reads Played 6, Won 3, Drawn 2, Lost 1, Scored 11 and Conceded 8. Their only defeat at home this season was against Man City (2-4). Hull are a much better outfit at home than they are away, scoring almost two goals per game and after two away draws against Arsenal and Liverpool their confidence is on a high.
Southampton are in dreamland, sitting second in the league after 8 games and the Saints must be thinking a top 6 place is now on the cards. Their form line in all competitions reads Won 8, Drawn 1, Lost 2, Scored 24 and Conceded 6. After demolishing Sunderland 8-0 they beat Stoke 1-0 last week at home. Both Southampton’s defeats this year have been on the road at Tottenham and Liverpool. Whilst they are ranked top for the best away defence in the league, conceding just 4 goals, they have only produced 5 goals in their away matches. This is the lowest of any of the top 5 sides and indicates they shut up shop when on the road. With Hull averaging nearly two goals at home per game and with Southampton slightly more than one, the advice here is on a correct score bet: Hull to win by 2 goals to 1 @ 17/1 (18.0)
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Hull to WIN by 2 goals to 1 @ 17/1 (18.0)