EPL Prediction Model: Week 15 Forecasts | Arsenal, Chelsea win, United loss?

EPL Prediction Model: Week 15 Forecasts | Arsenal, Chelsea win, United loss?

Games have been coming thick and fast and the model's been holding its own for the past few weeks. No spectacular wins on the betting, but if you've been following its calls, then Tuesday night marked three profitable rounds in a row. Six mid-week results were called correctly, with the games at Arsenal, Liverpool, Stoke, Sunderland, Fulham and West Brom all running as forecast. There were a few odd games, where the dominant team lost: West Ham at Palace, Southampton …
Prediction Model: Wk 14 Forecasts | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man Utd to win

Prediction Model: Wk 14 Forecasts | Arsenal, Liverpool, Man Utd to win

Let's kick off with a quick round-up of Saturday and Sunday before we get onto the midweek game predictions... The past weekend went fairly well, with a small 5% profit if you were betting on the EPL Model's calls. We got six out of ten results correct, with the games at Chelsea, Man City, Cardiff, Everton, Norwich and Newcastle all running as forecast. Fulham was the big miss this week, with a predicted draw coming out as a comfortable West …
Prediction Model: Forecasts | Arsenal, Liverpool to win, City to Smash 5?

Prediction Model: Forecasts | Arsenal, Liverpool to win, City to Smash 5?

We've got a big week coming up, with a full schedule of games on Saturday and Sunday and then again in mid-week. Just this weekend's predictions for the moment and then I'll try to get a post up on Sunday or Monday for the next set. Partly, we'll need to adjust for any injuries that come up on Saturday and Sunday so that the starting line-ups in the model for the mid-week round will be as accurate as possible. I'm …
Premier League Prediction Model: Week 11 Forecasts | United Vs Arsenal

Premier League Prediction Model: Week 11 Forecasts | United Vs Arsenal

Round one of the results prediction model went ok, so here we go with my numbers for Saturday 9th and Sunday 10th November. I've been making a few small changes to the model based on last week - nothing too drastic, but it's encountering some new problems with shortages of data that I didn't have last season. I first started building these models in the second half of last season so there were always at least 20 games worth of …
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