At Home, down 1-0 at Half Time. How often do you win? | Stats Analysis

At Home, down 1-0 at Half Time. How often do you win? | Stats Analysis

Recently, I looked at a large sample of away teams losing 1-0 at half-time and discovered that they find it very difficult to make a comeback and win the fixture. In this article, I explore the degree to which we might expect that the home team, similarly fighting a 0-1 deficit, fights back to win the game. I fired up my Excel spreadsheets, dating as far back as the 2008/9 season, and calculated how many times the current crop of …
Down 1-0 Away at Half Time | How often does your team comeback to win?

Down 1-0 Away at Half Time | How often does your team comeback to win?

I am always looking for Sporting trends and a good example is Trap 1 in the Greyhound Derby at Wimbledon where Trap 1 failed to win from 1985 till 2011. In 2009 the Hoodoo struck when Fear Zafonic (Trap 1) was backed into 1.01 on Betfair  just as it was caught on the line. Another good trend which was broken is Fulham did not score for 32 games in a row when 0-0 in the Premiership on or after 80 minutes. …
The Relationship between Final Third Passing & Goals so far 12/13

The Relationship between Final Third Passing & Goals so far 12/13

Please note that Sunderland and Reading have only played 8 games and all other teams have played 9. If you look at the table at the bottom of the page you will see that Arsenal have attempted the most final-third passes 1599(FTP) so far this season, have completed the most final-third passes (FTP C) and have the highest % completion of final-third passes (FTP C). Fulham are the most accurate and in their 9 games they have averaged 1 goal …
Quantifying Odds of City Winning League

Quantifying Odds of City Winning League

Christmas marks a good time to look over the EPL games this year and look to the future to see how clubs are doing and what the final EPL table may look like. Manchester City goes in to Christmas 2 points clear of United at the top of the table. But what are City's chances of being at the top at the end of the season? Obviously, a lot of things can happen between now and then. The Euro Club …
QPR v Wigan likely to be low scoring game

QPR v Wigan likely to be low scoring game

Generally, people overreact. They fail to analyse things as a whole, and make rash judgements based on what they have just witnessed, experienced or heard that reinforces their existing values or beliefs. A magnificent example of this is watching a televised football match with two football fans – one who supports team A, the other team B. They watch the same broadcast, listen to the same commentary but will react very differently to the referee’s decisions. Even referees fail to …
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