Premier League Prediction Model: Week 11 Forecasts | United Vs Arsenal

Premier League Prediction Model: Week 11 Forecasts | United Vs Arsenal

Round one of the results prediction model went ok, so here we go with my numbers for Saturday 9th and Sunday 10th November. I've been making a few small changes to the model based on last week - nothing too drastic, but it's encountering some new problems with shortages of data that I didn't have last season. I first started building these models in the second half of last season so there were always at least 20 games worth of …
Premier League Results Predictor Model: Round 10 results | How many were correct?

Premier League Results Predictor Model: Round 10 results | How many were correct?

Results Prediction Model: Premier League forecasts | Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea

Results Prediction Model: Premier League forecasts | Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea

Last January, I started work on a model that would use EPL Index's Opta stats to predict the results of football games. It ran during the latter part of the 2012-13 season on my own blog, calling 55% of results correctly from March to May and turning a tidy overall profit at the bookies of £166.50, playing £10 stakes on every game. This season it's going to run again, but with a new home for the predictions on EPL Index! …
Premier League Round 10 Betting Tips | Arsenal V Liverpool and Chelsea

Premier League Round 10 Betting Tips | Arsenal V Liverpool and Chelsea

Matthew Glazier of www.bettingpro.com expects both teams to find the net at St James’ Park on Saturday, while Stoke seem overpriced against the Saints and the Arsenal v Liverpool game should be full of goals.  The Premier League title race appears to be wide open this season, with Chelsea having the chance to become the latest team to ascend the tallest branch of the table on Saturday. Here are the best bets for the game at St James’ Park, along …
Premier League Round 9 | Betting Tips - Arsenal, Liverpool and Saints

Premier League Round 9 | Betting Tips - Arsenal, Liverpool and Saints

Matthew Glazier of www.bettingpro.com expects a handsome Arsenal win this weekend although West Brom can stifle Liverpool at Anfield There are six Premier League games taking place on Saturday and we start with the lunchtime encounter at Selhurst Park which could be a painful experience for Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace v Arsenal 12.45pm A 3-1 win over Sunderland at the end of August suggested the Eagles might be getting the hang of life in the top flight, although five straight …
How Well Does Your Team

How Well Does Your Team "Fightback" When Conceding 1st? I Stats Analysis

The phrase "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics" is certainly appropriate when discussing football data at a time when data is now readily available to the public should they be inclined to look at it. Manchester City have tried to raise the bar by offering data in the hope that some bright blogger/analyst will be able to add to the debate about improving performance via analysis of the data. In this article I want to …
An Analysis of late goals in the Premier League

An Analysis of late goals in the Premier League

In this article I am looking at the late goals in the EPL as historically more goals are scored 76-FT then any other time range. Currently there have been 124 goals scored 76-FT making up 20.8% of total goals and 2011 this was 22.3% and 2010 it was 23.2% and 2009 it was 23.6% and 2008 it was 25.1% so we should see a few more late goals in 2013 in the EPL to get close  to an average of …
Newcastle 1 Everton 2

Newcastle 1 Everton 2 "fightback" analysis

I would like to take you through a tour of data for the Newcastle v Everton game to see if Football is not random and your betting decisions are. We need to have a look at a football predictive model to guide us through goal expectation because when a bookmaker prices over and under 2.5 goals as an example they need to work this out. In order to do this they use a predictive model and luckily I have also …
Page: 1 43 44 45 46 47